Tag Archives: casey affleck

Oscar Predictions 2017

Best Picture

  • Hidden Figures
    • Going for the upset here. I’m thinking politics will ultimately win out over heart.

Best Director

  • Damien Chazelle, “La La Land”
    • He’s won the DGA. That usually leads to success.

Best Actor

  • Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea”
    • Denzel has already won, and that might be enough for Affleck to sneak a win.

Best Actress

  • Emma Stone, “La La Land”
    • She’s won everything. This is the easiest category of the night.

Best Supporting Actor

  • Mahershala Ali, “Moonlight”
    • He’s won the SAG and is the favorite.

Best Supporting Actress

  • Viola Davis, “Fences”
    • She also won the SAG and has no real competition.

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • Moonlight
    • Any of the nominees could realistically win. “Moonlight” might win by a hair.

Best Original Screenplay

  • Manchester by the Sea
    • It’s seen as a writer’s film, but watch out for La La Land if it sweeps.

Best Animated Film

  • Kubo and the Two Strings
    • “Zootopia” should put up a fight, but the beauty of the animation of “Kubo” might sway the voters.

Best Cinematography

  • La La Land
    • Alternative: Arrival

Best Costume Design

  • Jackie
    • Alternative: Florence Foster Jenkins

Best Documentary

  • OJ: Made in America
    • Alternative: I Am Not Your Negro

Best Documentary Short Subject

  • The White Helmets
    • Alternative: Watani: My Homeland

Best Editing

  • Arrival
    • Alternative: La La Land

Best Foreign Language Film

  • The Salesman
    • Alternative: Toni Erdmann

Best Makeup

  • Star Trek Beyond
    • Alternative: A Man Called Ove

Best Original Score

  • La La Land
    • Alternative: Lion

Best Original Song

  • “City of Stars”, from “La La Land”
    • Alternative: “How Far I’ll Go”, from “Moana”

Best Production Design

  • Arrival
    • Alternative: La La Land

Best Animated Short Film

  • Piper
    • Alternative: Pearl

Best Live Action Short

  • Timecode
    • Alternative: La Femme et le TVG

Best Sound Editing

  • Arrival
    • Alternative: Hacksaw Ridge

Best Sound Mixing

  • La La Land
    • Alternative: Arrival

Best Visual Effects

  • The Jungle Book
    • Alternative: Doctor Strange

‘Manchester by the Sea’ a miserable experience

Sitting through Manchester by the Sea is about the equivalent of a visit to the morgue. It is a joyless slog filled with despair, misery and regret.

Lee (Casey Affleck) is a janitor in Boston. When Lee’s brother, Joe (Kyle Chandler), dies from his heart condition, Lee is forced to return home to care for his nephew, Patrick (Lucas Hedges), a high school kid. Patrick is a  brat who juggles two different girls and just wants to get laid and stay in town. Lee tries to convince Patrick to move back with him to Boston and, over the course of the story, we learn why he doesn’t want to stay, as his tragic backstory involving his ex-wife, Randi (Michelle Williams), and his three children unfolds.

It is now common knowledge that drama movies are consistently rated higher by critics than comedies. As so, if the quality of Manchester by the Sea was translated into a comedy, it probably would have been panned, but since it is a ‘thought-provoking drama’, it gets Oscar-nominated instead. Just because a film has dramatic moments and deals with heavier issues does not mean that it is a quality work.

Sure, Casey Affleck is great in the lead role, and there are some good moments of the characters on boats, but the film is just a depressing experience. There are not enough happy moments to counteract the misery, and you don’t really care about the characters that much. With a bloated run time of over two hours, it’s just misery, misery, misery, leaving you unable to take anything from the experience.

For those looking for a good time at the movies, Manchester by the Sea is not for you. For those looking for a thought-provoking drama, Manchester is still not for you. For those who would like the equivalent of a battering ram to the heart for two hours with no apparent hope for the future, go see Manchester by the Sea. You’ll love it.